The 4th highest target share in football – but WR 22?
I’ll start with the number that broke my spreadsheet, Justin Jefferson posted the fourth-highest target share in football last year, 31 percent, and finished…
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The Archives
Fantasy football strategy, waiver wire targets, start/sit advice, and deep dives from the Wizards.
What to do with the Falcons messy passing game
Everybody is avoiding the Atlanta quarterback situation like the plague. Tua Tagovailoa on a one-year, roughly $1.2 million deal after Miami let him walk,…
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Two Buys and Two Traps – July ADP is moving fast
The most reliable edge in July isn’t information, it’s the market’s habit of extrapolating a tiny sample into a permanent verdict. Jonathon Brooks has…
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Skip the Rookies – Five Sophomore WRs Worth Drafting in 2026
Everybody wants the shiny rookie. I want the guy who already ate a year of NFL snaps, got yelled at by his position coach,…
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The Two First-Round Backs to Avoid at their ADP
Every draft board has a couple of names that make you hover the cursor a beat too long. Not because the player is bad,…
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Five June trades to pay attention to
The June trade season did something it usually doesn’t: it created real, actionable value before camps even open. A.J. Brown to New England and…
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Four guys going cheaper than they ought to
Every June I watch people line up to draft the same fifteen “safe” names at retail price, and then act surprised when their roster…
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Why you should punt tight end this year – Five Names That Let You Spend Your Early Picks Elsewhere
Of the first eight tight ends going in early 2026 ADP, the oldest is 26 years old. Let that sit for a second. Trey…
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Five Question Marks I’ll Bet On in 2026
The cleanest edges in drafts come from players the market has already filed away under “too risky to bother.” Every one of the five…
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The running backs I’m reaching for
Every August somebody asks me what “target at any cost” actually means, usually right after I’ve talked myself into a third draft of the…
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